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Three papers on inverse optimization algorithms, PEV sales forecasting, and PEVs\u27 potential impact on power systems

机译:关于逆优化算法,PEV销售预测以及PEV对电力系统的潜在影响的三篇论文

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摘要

This thesis consists of three journal papers that I have been worked on during my PhD program of study.The first paper presents heuristic algorithms that are designed to be implemented and executed in parallel with an existing algorithm in order to overcome its two limitations. Computational experiments show that implementing the heuristic algorithm on one auxiliary processor in parallel with the existing algorithm on the main processor significantly improves its computational efficiency, in addition to providing a series of improving feasible upper bound solutions.In the second paper, we present two interactive models to jointly forecast PEV sales and the diurnal recharging load curve in the U.S. between 2012 and 2020. A case study is conducted for the Midwest ISO region. Compared to the sales forecasts from the literature, our results turn out to be less optimistic. Our recharging load forecast results also suggest that, if appropriately managed, the impact of PEVs on electricity load would not be overwhelming in the next decade.The third paper focuses on assessing and mitigating the potential impact of PEVs recharging load on power systems, Case study show that electricity rates with higher flexibility induces PEVs to have less impact on the power systems in terms of both generation cost and uncertainties. Also, PEV users higher recharging behavior responsiveness will improve the effectiveness of price incentives and the control ability of the power utilities under all types of TOU rates mechanisms.
机译:本论文包括我在攻读博士学位期间研究的三篇期刊论文。第一篇论文提出了启发式算法,旨在与现有算法并行实施和执行,以克服其两个局限性。计算实验表明,除了提供一系列改进的可行上限解决方案外,在一个辅助处理器上与现有算法在主处理器上并行实施启发式算法,还可以大大提高其计算效率。这些模型可共同预测2012年至2020年美国的PEV销量和日充电负荷曲线。以中西部ISO地区为例进行了研究。与文献中的销售预测相比,我们的结果不太乐观。我们的充电负荷预测结果还表明,如果管理得当,PEV对电力负荷的影响在未来十年内将不会被压倒。第三篇论文着重于评估和缓解PEV充电负荷对电力系统的潜在影响,案例研究研究表明,具有较高灵活性的电价会导致PEV在发电成本和不确定性方面对电力系统的影响较小。同样,PEV用户更高的充电行为响应能力将提高价格激励措施的有效性以及在所有类型的TOU费率机制下电力公司的控制能力。

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  • 作者

    Duan, Zhaoyang;

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  • 年度 2014
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
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